Bitcoin Could Hit New All-Time High by Year-End: Analyst Forecast
Renowned crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe believes Bitcoin could break its price record as early as 2026. His optimistic forecast is based on historical patterns and changing market structure. Let's break down what's behind this claim and why it might matter for everyday people.
Why the Analyst Believes in a New High
Van de Poppe points to a recurring pattern: after sharp price drops, Bitcoin typically recovers 30–60% within about six months. If this trend holds, the price could reach $100,000 by the third quarter of 2026 and hit a new all-time high (current record around $73,000 set in March 2024) by year-end.
A key factor, according to the analyst, is the declining share of coins that are at a loss (i.e., bought at a higher price than the current one). This trend has been observed since 2018: the number of "loss-making" Bitcoins is gradually shrinking. When there are fewer such coins, there are also fewer sellers willing to dump the asset at a low price. This reduces market pressure and lays the groundwork for growth.
What the Data Says
Van de Poppe notes that no other global asset shows such consistent and symmetrical dynamics as Bitcoin. In his view, the cryptocurrency's supply structure makes it a unique financial instrument.
Current market behavior also reflects the strengthening position of long-term holders (often called "hodlers"). These investors do not sell Bitcoin during short-term fluctuations but hold it for years. The more such holders there are, the less liquidity is available for selling, and the higher the potential for price growth.
What Matters
- The forecast is based on historical patterns, not guarantees. The market could change due to external factors.
- The declining share of loss-making coins is an objective indicator confirmed by blockchain data.
- The strengthening position of long-term holders reduces volatility but does not eliminate the risk of sudden drops.
- The analyst does not provide financial advice — this is merely his personal assessment of the situation.
- Other experts warn that Bitcoin has become highly sensitive to geopolitical news, especially the situation in the Middle East.
What This Means for Everyday People
If the forecast comes true, those who already own Bitcoin will see their savings grow. However, new buyers should remember: cryptocurrency remains a high-risk asset, and its price can both soar and plummet sharply. Do not invest money you are not prepared to lose. The main takeaway: the market is signaling potential growth, but relying on a single forecast is risky.
— Editorial Team
