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CLARITY Act: delay until 2030 and consequences for stablecoins

The US may delay adoption of the CLARITY Act until 2030 due to the pre-election pause. This will affect stablecoin regulation, the ban on interest payments, and the division of powers between the SEC and CFTC.

CLARITY Act under threat: stablecoins with no interest until 2030?

Predict

Signal based on this article

Signal7/10
Directionneutral
Magnitude1-3%
Timeframe1-2w
Confidencelow

Drivers

Delay risk for the CLARITY Act increases regulatory uncertainty around stablecoin yield mechanisms in the U.S. This may trigger minor outflows from interest-bearing stablecoin platforms as users anticipate potential restrictions. Key counter-signal: lack of immediate enforcement means most platforms will continue operations unchanged in the short term.

View all predictions for this date

Analytical signal only. Not financial advice.

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The CLARITY Stablecoin Law May Be Delayed Until 2030 — What It Means for the Crypto Market

The United States may fail to pass a crucial law regulating cryptocurrencies before the end of 2026. If that happens, the new framework for stablecoins and digital assets won’t take effect until at least 2030. This isn’t just bureaucratic delay — it will impact millions of people who use stablecoins for savings, transfers, or earning income.

Why Now Is the Decisive Moment?

Senator Cynthia Lummis, one of Congress’s leading advocates for crypto regulation, warns that if the Senate Banking Committee doesn’t review the CLARITY Act by the end of April 2026, its chances of passage will plummet. The reason is simple: midterm elections will take place in November, shifting lawmakers’ focus to campaign politics. And Lummis herself will leave the Senate in January 2027 and won’t be around to push the bill further.

CLARITY has already passed the House of Representatives, but without Senate approval and the president’s signature, it remains just a proposal. Missing this window means the next realistic chance for regulation won’t come until after the 2028 presidential election — meaning not before 2030.

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What Does the CLARITY Act Propose?

The bill aims to clarify who regulates what in the U.S. crypto landscape. Currently, the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) and CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) are locked in a power struggle over jurisdiction over different types of tokens. CLARITY proposes a clear division:

  • Tokenized securities remain under SEC oversight.
  • Most other digital assets, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, are classified as commodities and fall under CFTC regulation.

Additionally, the law requires stablecoin issuers to disclose more details about their reserves so users can be certain what backs their tokens.

But there’s a contentious point: CLARITY bans interest payments to stablecoin holders. This has sparked fierce resistance from crypto companies and users accustomed to earning yields on USDC or DAI. This very ban has become the main sticking point in negotiations.

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Why Is the Interest Ban Controversial?

Imagine depositing dollars into a traditional bank account and earning a small interest rate. In crypto, stablecoins are digital dollars, and many platforms have paid users for holding them. It’s like a savings account — but on the blockchain.

Regulators, however, fear such payments could constitute unregistered securities — especially if the returns depend on a company’s operations. To avoid legal risks, CLARITY proposes simply banning these payments. But that removes one of the main incentives for users to choose stablecoins over traditional banks.

What’s at Stake

  • The CLARITY Act can only be passed before the end of 2026 — otherwise, delay until 2030 is likely.
  • It defines which regulator oversees cryptocurrencies: SEC or CFTC.
  • The ban on interest payments for stablecoins has triggered industry pushback.
  • Stablecoin issuers will be required to disclose the composition of their reserves.
  • The absence of a law creates legal uncertainty for all market participants.

What Does This Mean for Ordinary People?

If the law passes, stablecoins will become safer — you’ll know for certain they’re backed by real dollars. But you’ll likely stop earning passive income for holding them. If the law is delayed, everything stays the same: some platforms pay interest, others don’t, and regulators continue suing companies. This creates instability — tomorrow, your favorite service might suddenly cut payments or vanish under regulatory pressure.

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For investors and users, clarity is protection. Even if new rules seem strict, they’re better than chaos. Therefore, delaying CLARITY isn’t just a political pause — it’s a risk to the entire ecosystem.

— Editorial Team

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