Articles by tag: fed-policy
Geopolitics and Oil Drop: Iran Ceasefire and PCE Inflation
Analysis of the impact of the US-Iran ceasefire on Brent oil, futures, and Treasury yields. Forecast for the PCE index and hawkish Fed policy. Read details.
PCE Inflation and Hawkish Fed Stance: Market Forecast
Analysis of May PCE Index, hawkish Fed policy, and market reactions. Forecast for rates, S&P 500, and Treasury yields. Read details.
Dollar updates yearly highs: hawkish Fed signal and peace with Iran
Analysis of DXY index rise to yearly peak: hawkish Fed reversal by Warsh, peace agreement with Iran, and hidden risks for the dollar. Forecasts and scenarios for investors.
Inflation forecast 2027: 2.5% above Fed and Bank of England targets
Consensus CPI forecast for 2027 revised to 2.5% in the US and UK, exceeding targets. Analytics, hidden risks and forecasts. Read more.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures fall ahead of Fed minutes
Why the market fears a split in the FOMC, not the rate? 30 and 90 day forecast, S&P 500 levels and 10-year yields. Read the analysis before the minutes release.
US inflation is persistent: the Fed's difficult choice
Analysis of persistent US inflation, CPI and NFP data, Fed rate forecasts through 2027. Who wins and loses with high rates? Read the details.
Key US indices: Dow rises, Nasdaq falls ahead of Fed decision
Analysis of divergent dynamics of Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq: capital rotation from technology to energy, impact of Treasury yields and forecast until September 2026. Read details.
US stock markets rose 1.8-2.5% amid Iran deal — analysis
Analysis of S&P 500 and NASDAQ rally: $45 billion short squeeze, Iran's role, oil drop, and winning sectors. Read detailed analysis.
US CPI and PPI Inflation: Impact on Cryptocurrencies
Analysis of US CPI (4.2%) and PPI (6.5%) data. Why inflation hit Bitcoin and altcoins harder than expected. Forecasts and strategies.
US dollar fell to 4-month low: analysis and forecast
Analysis of the dollar's decline to lows since February 2026: reaction to Fed comments, movement of EUR/USD, USD/JPY and what to expect next. Read details.
Stocks and Bitcoin crashed: reasons for Nasdaq and BTC decline
Why Nasdaq fell 4.2% and Bitcoin broke $60,000. Analysis of NFP, fears ahead of CPI, and structural liquidity deficit. Read the 30-90 day forecast.
Two-year US Treasury yield hits 15-month high — analysis
Two-year US Treasury yield jumped to 4.15% on strong employment data. Why does curve steepening signal recession? Full breakdown.
Dow Jones updated historical high: stagflation analysis
Why Dow's rise to 51,561 hides a bet on stagflation? Breakdown of market mechanics, beneficiary sectors, and hidden risks. Read the analysis.
ISM Manufacturing and Inflation: Why Fed Rates Will Remain High
ISM Manufacturing exceeded forecasts, price component above 80. How does this affect Fed rates, the dollar, and gold? Analysis and forecast for investors. Read.
US Inflation 3.8%: Risks for Fed Policy and Economy
US inflation reached 3.8% amid expensive oil and tariffs. The Fed keeps the rate. Risk analysis, forecasts and implications for markets. Read more.
Kevin Warsh is the new Fed Chair: inflationary pressure and rates
Analysis of Kevin Warsh's appointment as Fed Chair amid the Middle East war. Impact on rates, dollar, markets, and petrodollar. Read more.
Bitcoin fell below $73,000: reasons and forecast
Analysis of BTC drop to $72,728: geopolitics, stablecoin liquidity crisis, miner actions, and 30-90 day forecast. Read details.
Fed Governor Waller advocated for a rate hike and inflation
Chris Waller supported a Fed rate hike amid rising inflation. Learn how this will affect the dollar, markets, and your portfolio. Analysis and forecast.
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair: Impact on Commodity Markets and Inflation
Kevin Warsh's appointment as Fed Chair caused a rise in commodity prices. We analyze the consequences for the dollar, inflation, and markets. Read forecasts and risks.
Dollar, oil and Treasuries: market reversal 2026
How short squeeze on Treasuries and falling oil prices supported the dollar. Insider analysis: forced position closing and real rates. Read the forecast for 30 and 90 days ahead.