Articles by tag: us-economy
Fed to keep high rate until end of 2026 amid inflation
Fed signals pause in rate cuts until end of 2026. Analysis of FOMC minutes, Core PCE, and forecasts for dollar and markets. Read details.
Dollar updates yearly highs: hawkish Fed signal and peace with Iran
Analysis of DXY index rise to yearly peak: hawkish Fed reversal by Warsh, peace agreement with Iran, and hidden risks for the dollar. Forecasts and scenarios for investors.
Fed kept rate unchanged: monetary policy reversal in June 2026
Fed left rate at 3.50–3.75%, but dot plot signals possible hike. Who benefits from hawkish reversal? Read analysis of implications for dollar, markets, and inflation.
US inflation in May 2026: 4.2% — what's next?
US CPI inflation accelerated to 4.2% due to energy shock. We analyze core CPI, Fed reaction, and rate forecast. Read analysis and implications.
Fed kept rate at 5.5% — hawkish signal and 2026 risks
Fed left rate at 5.5% and signals hike. Analysis of the June 12, 2026 decision: hidden panic, winners and losers, PCE and market forecast. Read more.
US mortgage crisis intensifies: 12% defaults on commercial real estate
Real risks are 4 times higher than official ones. How banks hide losses and who will benefit from the commercial real estate crisis. Read analysis and forecast.
Yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds reached 4.5%
Analysis of the decline in Treasury prices: why 4.5% is the new normal, how it affects investors and the economy. Read details and forecasts.
Risk of Fed rate hike in 2026 due to independence
Markets are pricing in a Fed rate hike by end of 2026 amid uncertainty over the regulator's independence. Analysis of risks, scenarios, and consequences for investors. Learn more.
US Inflation 2.9%: Why the Market Crashed and What to Expect from the Fed
Analysis of May CPI data: Core inflation slowed to 2.9%, but the market fell due to rising energy prices and geopolitics. Who won, who lost? Read the forecast and analysis.
Trump loves inflation: the link between rising prices and the war in Iran
Analysis of Trump's statement about loving inflation: connection to US debt, oil prices, and the war in Iran. Who wins and who loses. Read more.
Federal Reserve left rate unchanged: pause until September 2026
Analysis of the Fed's decision to keep the rate at 5.5% until September: real reasons for the pause, who wins and loses, hidden risks of inflation and commercial real estate. Read details.
Two-year US Treasury yield hits 15-month high — analysis
Two-year US Treasury yield jumped to 4.15% on strong employment data. Why does curve steepening signal recession? Full breakdown.
US labor market: strong hiring in May challenges expectations
May hiring of 172K jobs in the US exceeded forecasts, causing Nasdaq to plunge 4%. Analysis of the impact of the 2026 FIFA World Cup and Fed rates. Read details.
Industrial Growth in the US: AI Boom and Risks for the Fed Rate
Analysis of US PMI Growth to 54.0: Impact of AI, Defense Orders, and Hidden Risks for the Labor Market and Fed Rate. Read expert analysis.
US labor market heats up Fed rates: 2026 analysis
Analysis of the US employment report (172k new jobs), impact of the war with Iran and the Fed rate in 2026. Trader insights. Find out who wins and who loses.
US Inflation 3.8%: Risks for Fed Policy and Economy
US inflation reached 3.8% amid expensive oil and tariffs. The Fed keeps the rate. Risk analysis, forecasts and implications for markets. Read more.
Fed records inflation acceleration: PCE reached 3.8% — analysis
US inflation accelerated to 3.8% by PCE. Why the Fed will not cut rates in 2026 and who benefits from the crisis. Full analysis for investors.
US labor market data: Fed rate assessment and impact on investors
Analysis of the impact of the US employment report on the Fed rate, stock markets, dollar, and cryptocurrencies. Forecasts, risks, and opportunities for traders. Read the details.
Fed will not cut rates in 2026: inflation risks from war
Reuters poll: less than 50% of economists expect Fed rate cut in 2026 due to inflation and war. Analysis of consequences for markets, dollar, and investments. Read.
Fed Minutes: Inflation, Tariffs, and Rate 3.5%-3.75%
Analysis of Fed Minutes from May 5-6, 2026: High Inflation, Tariff Uncertainty, Hidden Risks of Rate Hike, and Gold Forecast. Read the details.
Viral video of alcohol theft: why is security inactive?
Video of $8,000 alcohol theft goes viral. Why didn't security intervene? We analyze legal loopholes, Proposition 47, and hidden insurer benefits. Read.
The Employment Bubble Burst: The Story of an IT Family Without Jobs
Reddit post about a family of 5 IT professionals without jobs for 2 months. US labor market crisis, structural gap, and age discrimination. Find out what is really happening.
Fed prepares for prolonged pause: rates unchanged until 2027
Analysis of TD Securities forecast: Fed to keep high rates until 2027 due to persistent inflation. Who wins and loses from the pause? Read details.
OECD forecast for the US economy: Trump's trade wars and risks
OECD sharply downgrades US forecast due to Trump tariffs: GDP growth 1.6% in 2026. Analysis of consequences for markets, dollar and S&P 500. Read details.
Inflation will return to target later: Fed concerns
Fed minutes showed increased risk of inflation returning to 2% later. Analysis of the impact of conflict and energy shock on the rate. Read forecasts and insights.
Split in the Fed: The Most Controversial Meeting in 30 Years
The April Fed meeting became the most contentious since 1992: 4 dissenting votes, hawks vs. doves. What does the paralysis of monetary policy mean for markets and rates? Read the analysis.
US PCE inflation to accelerate to 3.8%: forecast and implications
RBC and Oxford Economics analysis: headline PCE inflation to reach 3.8% annualized due to energy prices. How this will affect the Fed, markets, and rates. Read more.
Rising gas prices undermine consumer purchasing power in the US
We analyze how high gasoline prices reduce the savings rate and household spending. RBC forecast, Fed reaction and implications for the US economy. Read more.
Yield on 30-year US Treasuries at 5.2%: risks and forecast
Treasury yield reached 5.2% — a 19-year high. We analyze the causes, consequences for markets, mortgages, and the US economy. Read the 30- and 90-day forecast.
US PPI 6%: Fed rate will soar to 6.5% by September
April US PPI accelerated to 6.0%. We analyze why this is a structural shock, not just a number, and how a rate hike to 6.5% will crash markets. Analysis inside.
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair: What the Appointment Means for Markets
Senate Confirms Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair. Analysis of the Conflict, Trump and Powell's Positions, Rate Forecast. Find Out Who Benefits from the New Chairman.
US Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 48.2
Why the US Consumer Sentiment Index crashed to an all-time low while markets are rising. We analyze the paradox of vibe-cession and political polarization. Read the analysis.
US Federal Reserve keeps rate at 3.5-3.75% with record split
Fed keeps rate at 3.50-3.75%, but 4 FOMC members voted against. Find out why one demanded a cut and three demanded tighter rhetoric, and how this will affect markets and the dollar.
Powell's final press conference: change of Fed chair
Jerome Powell held a farewell press conference before his departure on May 15. Learn how the record FOMC split and the Persian Gulf crisis will affect the policy of new chair Kevin Warsh.
U.S. Opens $166B Tariff Refund Portal for Businesses
Thousands of importers are filing claims for refunds on tariffs ruled illegal. Learn how this massive cash return could impact the economy.
Can Trump Fire Fed Chair Powell? What It Means for You
Trump threatens to fire Fed Chair Powell—here's why central bank independence affects your wallet and what could happen next.