Articles by tag: geopolitical-risk
What Are the Maritime Chokepoints and Why Strategic
Learn what are the maritime chokepoints and why they are strategic for global trade. Discover 7 critical passages that control energy, supply chains, and economic stability.
S&P 500 Energy Sector: Growth or Trap?
Analysis of oil and gas stock growth amid commodity prices. Risks, hidden factors, and forecast for XLE, Brent, and WTI. Read before buying.
Hezbollah: 260 drone and missile attacks — analysis for investors
Record 260 Hezbollah attacks in May — a new form of war of attrition. Analysis of drone tactics, Israeli vulnerabilities, and risks for investors. Read.
Iran's Attack on Ships in the Strait of Hormuz: Incident Analysis
Iran attacked commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, US intercepted drones. Analysis of controlled escalation for investors. Read details.
Israel expands operation in Lebanon: why now, despite US-Iran talks
Analysis: Israel creates irreversible facts on the ground to derail the US-Iran memorandum. For investors and hedge funds. Read.
USA and Iran exchanged strikes: escalation in the Persian Gulf and markets
Analysis of US and Iran strikes in the Persian Gulf: real calibration of the conflict, benefits for the defense sector, oil and gold. Insights for investors.
US-Iran negotiations: oil at $105 and deadlock
Breakdown of negotiations with Iran leads to oil at $105. Analysis for investors: naval blockade, 90% drop in exports, asset forecast. Find out what to do.
Iran struck US bases: escalation and oil market
Analysis of controlled escalation between Iran and the US: why the Pentagon is not lying about missile interception, who made money on oil at $93, and where to enter. Analytics for traders.
Trump loves inflation: the link between rising prices and the war in Iran
Analysis of Trump's statement about loving inflation: connection to US debt, oil prices, and the war in Iran. Who wins and who loses. Read more.
Brent oil $100: Iran's attack on Kuwait and breakdown of talks with US
Iran's attack on Kuwait pushed Brent oil to $100. Analysis: why $95-102 is the new baseline, collapse of the Kuwait assumption, winners and losers. Read.
Brent crude above $100: geopolitical premium and risks of Hormuz
Brent crude holds above $100 despite rumors of a US-Iran truce. Market analysis, insurance crisis, hidden sanctions, and new global logistics rules. Read.
Hezbollah rejected the ceasefire in Lebanon: consequences for markets
Why the failure of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire agreement kills chances for peace with Iran. Analysis for investors: oil, gold, bonds. Read.
Pentagon reduces brigades in Europe: financial consequences
Analysis of hidden economic consequences of reducing US brigades in Europe: $750 million flow, IPO of defense giants, and impact on markets. Read details.
Resolution on War Powers Against Trump on Iran: Signal for Markets
The US House of Representatives passed Resolution 215-208, limiting Trump's powers on Iran. We analyze the implications for oil, gold, and the dollar exchange rate. Read details.
Capture of Beaufort Fortress: Consequences for Oil and Markets
Israel Expands Operation in Lebanon by Capturing Beaufort Fortress. We analyze how the escalation affects oil prices, negotiations with Iran, and global markets. Read the details.
Trump denied the termination of negotiations with Iran: analysis
Trump called the suspension of dialogue with Iran a lie. How does the game of raising stakes affect oil, markets and global security? Full analysis for investors.
Capture of Beaufort Castle in Lebanon by Israel — consequences and forecasts
Israel captured Beaufort Castle in Lebanon: geopolitical consequences, economic risks, oil and gold forecast. Analysis for investors.
Israel's Expansion of Gaza Occupation to 70%: Risks for Markets
Israel expanded control in the Gaza Strip to 70% of the territory. We analyze geopolitical risks, consequences for energy markets, and investment threats. Read more.
Brent oil $92: US-Iran ceasefire and risks
Analysis of Brent oil stabilization around $92 amid hopes for a US-Iran ceasefire. Geopolitical risks, price movement scenarios and forecasts from JPMorgan and Citi. Read details.
Pentagon will resume hostilities against Iran if negotiations fail
Analysis: Hegseth's threat is a deal insurance, not escalation. Impact on oil, gold, and markets. Read the 30-90 day forecast.
Fragile ceasefire in the Middle East: risks of escalation and oil
Investec analysis: ceasefire is very fragile, blockade of Hormuz threatens price spike and recession. Read about scenarios and hidden risks for markets.
Iran shot down MQ-9: the truth about F-35 and impact on oil
Analysis of Iran's claim of destroying MQ-9 and shelling F-35: breakdown of propaganda, managed escalation, and oil price forecast to $78-82. Read more.
Oil falls due to Trump's war with Iran: market analysis 2026
Why Brent oil fell to $95 amid Trump's threats to Iran. Analysis of political volatility, winners and losers, forecast range $90-105. Read analysis.
Asian stock markets: mixed dynamics amid escalation in the Middle East
Korea's KOSPI rose 2.8% on military orders, Japan and China fall. Analysis of capital flows, defense contracts and 30-90 day forecast. Read.
US considers strikes on Iran: markets await escalation
Analysis of the probability of new US strikes on Iran, impact on oil, dollar and stock markets. Forecast for 72 hours. Read details.
Iran called US demands for highly enriched uranium meaningless — nuclear crisis
Iran rejected US demand to transfer highly enriched uranium. Analysis of consequences for oil, gold, and gas markets. Forecast until August 2026. Read.
Brent oil prices $105: analysis of the jump and forecast
Why Brent jumped to $105 per barrel: structural shift, Strait of Hormuz risks, IEA deficit, and 30-90 day forecast. Read the full analysis.
Asian markets fell: geopolitics and US bond yields
Asian stock markets crashed due to rising US Treasury yields and geopolitics. Learn the reasons, consequences for Nikkei, and 90-day forecast.
Global oil reserves have fallen to a minimum since 2016
Global oil reserves have fallen to 7.6 billion barrels due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. What will happen to prices and the market — read in the analysis.
Fed Minutes: Market Expects Rate Hike
Analysis of the Fed Minutes from May 20: Hidden Signals, Market Reaction, and Rate Forecast. Find out who will win and who will lose from policy tightening.
Iran prepares 'aggressive scenarios' against the US
Brigadier General Shekarchi announced the 'Storm-5' plan and asymmetric strikes. We analyze insider data on Pentagon damage and rising oil prices. Read the analysis.
Dollar rises against world currencies: Fed to tighten rhetoric
Analyzing the reasons for the dollar's strengthening to 99.35. Conflict in the Strait of Hormuz and hawkish Fed: find out what will happen to the market next. Read insider analysis.
Brent oil $112: why the collapse of US-Iran talks is just the beginning
The collapse of US-Iran talks halted 'gray' oil exports, creating a deficit of 900,000 barrels per day. We analyze the real reasons for Brent's jump to $112 and a forecast up to $118. Read insider analysis.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq records despite crisis
Analysis of the 'K-shaped' rally: why the tech sector updates highs with PPI inflation at 6% and war with Iran. Learn the growth drivers and risks of market divergence.
Fed rate frozen: food inflation due to Middle East
Boston Fed President warned: conflict threatens structural food inflation. Rate will not be cut. Find out who wins and who loses everything.
Capital outflow from India: over 14 thousand crore in May
Foreign investors withdrew 14,200 crore rupees. Learn about the reasons for the outflow, the impact of geopolitics, and market forecasts. Analysis and insights.
Moscow Exchange index rose: analysis of geopolitical rebound
We analyze the real reasons for the growth of the Russian market on May 11: a technical rebound, not a reversal. Why the ruble strengthening to 73 is a temporary window, and what is more important than negotiations. Read the analysis.
Premarket of US tech giants: what the May 11 drop means
Analysis of FAANG stock decline and Sony growth on the May 11 premarket: geopolitics, Fed chair change, and new AI vector. Understand market signals and act.
Why Sensex and Nifty fell: geopolitics and RBI trap
We analyze the real reasons for the Sensex and Nifty crash by more than 1000 points. Oil at $104, FII and DII rates, RBI trap. Find out who benefits from the panic.
EUR/USD rise despite NFP: what has changed for the dollar
NFP data beat forecasts, but EUR/USD pair went up. Find out why geopolitics and EU policy are breaking old market rules. Detailed analysis and forecast.
Oil prices near $100: US-Iran ceasefire under threat
We analyze fluctuations in Brent oil quotes around $100 amid the US-Iran conflict. Learn forecasts, insights, and key risks for the market.
Brent crude above $100: geopolitical shock and market analysis
Analysis of the reasons for the Brent crude jump above $100 amid attacks in the Strait of Hormuz. Analysis of short-gamma squeeze, impact on hedge funds and price forecast for 30-90 days. Find out who wins and who loses.
Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz: Risks for Markets and Safe-Haven Assets
Analysis of the impact of the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on global markets. Learn why the decline in Brent is temporary while structural risks persist. Recommendations for investors.
Markets rose on progress in negotiations with Iran
Analysis of the market rally on May 6, 2026: why the growth on statements about negotiations with Iran is not supported by facts, who wins and loses, forecast for 30 and 90 days.
Dollar fell below 75 rubles: analysis of the weakening geopolitical premium
Find out why the dollar crashed to 74.63 rubles on May 7, 2026. Analysis of the impact of the Iran deal, the policy of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation and the USD/RUB forecast for the summer. Read!
MSCI EM Record: How AI Boom Outpaced Geopolitics
MSCI Emerging Markets Index Hit Record High Amid Middle East Conflict. Learn How a Narrow Group of AI Companies Reshaped the Risk Map. Analysis for Investors.
Historical market highs: bubble or growth
S&P 500 and Nasdaq at peak, but this is a Big Tech bubble amid war and inflation at 3.5%. Find out why indices ignore risks and what will happen next with oil and rates.
Dollar strengthening 2026: hawkish Fed and DXY above 110
Why the dollar rises despite the crisis: analysis of the hawkish Fed split, geopolitics, and the dollar spiral. Find out the DXY forecast and risks for the yen.
Brent oil price above $110: geopolitical market gap
The gap between spot and futures oil prices reached $35. Find out why Brent at $150 is the new reality and who is losing. Read the analysis.
Gold prices retreat to $4599 amid hopes for negotiations
Gold corrected to $4599 per ounce amid news of US-Iran negotiations. Find out why the pullback from highs does not mean a trend reversal and what factors will support the growth of the precious metal.